So, inflation has been announced at 3.7%, absolutely miles above the level at which the Governor of the Bank of England must write to the Chancellor and explain himself. The RPI, which more closely tracks the sorts of things we spend our money on is up by even more, to 5.3% - the highest it's been for 18 years.
Inflation is an anathema to accountants, unless you're Richard Murphy, and the less said about him the better. Basically, inflation doesn't sit kindly with the double entry book-keeping system. It acts as a distortion to the assets and liabilities controlled by the organisation. And the same forces can have really pernicious effects on individuals.
So, what is inflation? Inflation is where money gradually loses its value over time. However, this rather begs the question as to what is money. My view is that money is a measure at a point in time of performance against the things people value. In the good old days, we didn't need money. People bartered with each other, and in the small society of a village, there was no need for a third party measure to hold people's performance to account. Both laziness and hard work were easy to spot and could be punished/rewarded accordingly. Yet, as our boundaries grow beyond the village, money becomes more useful.
A £1 coin is a way of measuring what I have done at a point in time. And conversely, a £1 debt is an obligation on me to do something in the future.
In an inflationary environment, debt lets you cheat. You borrow some money, use it to pay off your present obligation, then complete your performance at some point in the future. So long as your future earnings exceed your debt plus interest, you're quids in. In this world, people who borrowed get rewarded.
And think for a moment of responsible people. Their reserved wealth gets eroded by the inflation. It also means that your historical performance, which you exchanged for money, is now valued less by society because the money you received for it is now worth less.
Left-wingers generally love this. They see it as encouraging the transfer or wealth between generations. But they are wrong. There's no need to encourage the transfer of wealth between generations - death already accomplishes this perfectly well. Sensing their own mortality, people tend to bequeath or donate their money. Or spend it. Similarly, it's reasonable to expect the younger generation to work - as we worked - to earn the right to replace us in society.
There will always be a period where people are economically inactive. For most of us, there's a period at the start of our lives and another period at the end of our lives. An inflationary environment means people must save much more to insulate themselves against the risk of capital erosion in retirement. It's unfair, given that we as a society want the elderly to be able to retire with dignity. Where retirement used to be short, a bit of inflation might have been okay. But now many people are retired for 20-30 years, over which time the value of their fixed income pensions can fall by almost two-thirds. Twenty years ago, a pint of beer was £1.40. Now it costs almost £3.50. That sort of inflation is hard to protect against.
Unfortunately, inflation is irresistible to governments, as it allows them to reward the reckless many at the expense of the prudent few. And it isn't immediately obvious to the prudent that they have been ripped off until much later. But it's still unfair. A low inflation economy would be one that values the old as much as the young, the past as much as the future. Our present course encourages over-consumption today, because we can't be sure that our wealth won't be devalued tomorrow.
There's a particularly wretched editorial on inflation in the Guardian, which proclaims:
The funny thing about this situation is that a burst of higher inflation for an indebted, recession-bound economy is not that bad a thing. Adopting a higher inflation target would not only help burn away some of the UK's outstanding debt; it would also enable rates to be kept low to stimulate economic activity
I don't suppose anyone on a fixed income finds it remotely funny. The overpaid kids who wrote this garbage should be ashamed of themselves.
Filed under: Current issues, Economics with tags deficit, guardian, idiots, inflation, richard murphy
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