Amusing stuff from Ritchie, who seems to be getting ahead of himself. Under the title "That’s 200,000 jobs in the private sector gone as Bloody Tuesday begins" he shrieks:
The National Housing Federation has predicted that forthcoming housing cuts will lead to the loss (or lack of creation) of 200,000 jobs, and to 350,000 people being added to housing waiting lists. If the housing budget is cut by a third, it predicts that 142,000 new affordable homes will not be built.
Do you see what he's done here? The NHF has predicted that forthcoming housing cuts will lead to the loss or lack of creation of 200,000 jobs and Ritchie has contorted that into "200,000 jobs in the private sector gone"
Ah, but chartered accountants are alert to this sort of gimmick. It's Enron-style accounting or, if you prefer, counting your chickens before they're hatched. Only, when Enron did it, merely thinking about a chicken was enough for the company to book billions of dollars worth of eggs.
This is explained by Ross Watts, accounting academic superstar (and one half of legendary double act Watts and Zimmerman), in his paper What has the invisible hand achieved? He includes a little diagram which shows the operating cycle of a company, from devising an idea, through making inventories, through taking orders, all the way through to shipping the product and receiving payment. He criticises Enron for recognising profit at the very first stage, when accounting prudence would lead you to recognise profit later in the cycle. Ritchie wants to cuddle up to Jeff Skilling, it would seem.

The NHF has made a prediction, which may or may not come true. Of course, if 200,000 jobs aren't lost, the Ritchies of this world will merely claim that there would have been 200,000 more jobs if only it weren't for those pesky Conservatives. But even that's not enough. Blinded by his dribbling hatred of the Conservative coalition, Ritchie's claiming that the jobs have already been lost... oops!
Filed under: Academic research, Other blogs, Politics with tags deficit, enron, idiots, jeff skilling, national housing federation, richard murphy, ross watts
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