The case against Fortnum & Mason - not yet proven

Posted by Christie Malry on March 27, 2011 at 10:51 pm

On Saturday 26 March, protestors from UKuncut invaded Fortnum & Mason and arranged a sit-in to protest at what they described as "tax avoidance" by their parent company.

But on what grounds?

UK Uncut, the anti-cuts direct action group, are currently occupying Fortnum & Mason over the tax dodge of over 40 million by its owners Whittington Investments which have a 54% stake in Associated British Foods who produce Ryvita, Kingsmill and others and own Primark. ABF have dodged over £40 million in tax.

Note first off the extreme confusion between whether they're criticising Wittington Investments, the parent company, or ABF, the majority owned subsidiary.

And, unfortunately, that's as far as the evidence goes. Other bloggers (eg here, here and, especially here) have been scratching their heads trying to understand more, but so far UKuncut isn't explaining why they believe Fortnum & Mason to be a valid target for protest. Is it envy? Confusion? Idiocy? It's particularly curious, given Wittington's ultimate ownership by the Garfield Weston Foundation, a charitable grant-making body originally funded out of the great fortune of Garfield Weston, a very rich Canadian businessman. What was that they were saying about the uber-rich being greedy bastards who hate helping others?

I've asked for further details on the tax avoidance allegations, and will post them if/when I get them. But this looks being yet another flimsy portfolio of evidence on which to base a misguided anti-tax avoidance campaign.

Delicious irony

Posted by Christie Malry on March 23, 2011 at 7:19 am

Ritchie retweets the following from Jemima Khan:

Call me naive but I didn't realise to what extent The Daily Mail censors its comments to suit its agenda. We are all being blocked.

So, I guess it's true. Ritchie really does do irony.

Curious mortgage stats from the Guardian

Posted by Christie Malry on March 21, 2011 at 8:30 pm

The Guardian has a little article about how our finances are about to be squeezed by the upcoming budget. And here's what's happening to mortgages:

Thanks to the Bank of England base rate staying at 0.5% for the past two years, monthly mortgage payments have dropped to their lowest levels in 10 years. The average mortgage borrower, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders, owes £109,110 at an interest rate of 3.5%. The vast majority of mortgages are set up on a repayment basis, and the monthly premium for a loan this size would be £546.23. However, most experts expect the base rate to rise very soon, which will increase the cost of all variable rate deals. Each 0.25% rise in base rate will add £15 to a £109,110 repayment loan, according to moneysupermarket.com.

Something's not right here. The £546.23 figure only makes sense if you assume a remaining term of 25 years. But there's no way that the 'average mortgage borrower' can have a term of 25 years.

If we assume that the average mortgage is 25 years at the onset and that most people, when remortgaging, don't extend the term, and that even if they do others will pay off early, then 12.5 years is a better estimate of the remaining term of the 'average mortgage'.  And a mortgage of £109,110 at 3.5% for 12.5 years has a monthly repayment of approximately £899, not £546.23, a difference of over £353.

Generally, you'd expect the personal finance staff at a major national newspaper to spot this sort of thing...

Logic lesson for Shaxson

Posted by Christie Malry on March 18, 2011 at 1:02 pm

As regards tax avoidance and whether what is legal is automatically legitimate, well I will wheel out this thing that I’m rather tired of wheeling out: slavery and apartheid were legal in their day: that didn’t make it legitimate. Tax avoidance by definition is legal, but also by definition involves getting around the spirit of the law. Which in my book makes it wrong.

My new best friend, Nick Shaxson, makes this argument over at Worstall's gaff.

He's right to be tired of making this argument. It's total blithering nonsense. Watch and learn:

"Interracial marriage and homosexuality are wrong!"
"No they're not. They're totally legal."
"Slavery and apartheid were legal in their day. That doesn't make them legitimate."

You see, slavery and apartheid tell us nothing useful about tax law. Just because they were legal once and now illegal, it doesn't mean that any other arbitrary activity that is now legal should also be illegal. If the problem is the tax law, then it should be trivial for Big State campaigners to propose changes in the law that will fix the problem. Yet we know that David Gauke, the minister responsible, thinks that UKuncut are misguided and that  Richard Murphy is an idiot.

Instead, they're lying down in shops on a portfolio so flimsy, it would make even Tony Blair blush. It might actually be funny, were it not for its deleterious impact on ordinary people and the message it sends to business: You're not welcome here.

Deconstructing Ritchie's defence of UKuncut

Posted by Christie Malry on March 18, 2011 at 12:23 am

Ritchie, true to his Irish roots, has posted a late night St Patrick's Day blog post that perhaps betrays one too many pints of Guinness. What's got his goat is an article that Tim Worstall has penned for the Institute of Economic Affairs. I haven't seen the article itself, only Ritchie's quotes from it. But he puts up a strong defence of the tax affairs of the four main targets of UKuncut - Vodafone, Topshop, Boots and Barclays.

Now, readers of this blog will know that I also consider the arguments that have been made by UKuncut and others are incredibly weak. Surprisingly weak, really. If your main thesis is that companies are on the take and that some £120bn of tax is lost annually to avoidance and evasion from all sources, don't you think they'd be able to come up with some watertight examples of tax avoidance, so we could all understand what they mean?  The fact that they can't suggests, to me at least, that it's all a load of profound Ritchiebollocks.

On Vodafone:

That’s why the UK Revenue were winning all the way through the courts was it? Because they were. And that’s also why Vodafone provided for a bill about twice what they paid, was it? Because they did? No, this is Worstall making the misrepresentations here. It’s undeniable that no one knows the full facts of this case - except that as Private Eye have repeatedly alleged, that Dave Hartnett, boss of HMRC, took his winning team off it and with the help of Deloitte negotiated a cut down deal announced a few days before George Osborne was promoting the company in India. The allegation is not about tax in that case at all – it’s about the deal that was done. Worstall completely ignores the real issue – or maybe seeks to misrepresent it.

It's a principle of English law that only the highest court matters. In broad terms, the lowest rung of the courts system can only enforce the law that's there. They're bound by precedent from previous cases, and especially by precedent from higher courts. The Court of Appeal takes the facts of the previous case as read and seeks to enquire whether the law has been applied properly. At the very highest level, the Supreme Court has much more latitude - for example, it can override past precedent. But even it must follow the law as laid down by politicians. For matters which concern European law there is also a European appeal mechanism.

The facts in Vodafone were particularly complex from a legal point of view. While what Vodafone had done was deemed tax avoidance under UK law, and therefore gave rise to a tax charge, that bit of UK law was technically in breach of European law. Whether the breach was reasonable would have been the subject of a very finely balanced legal argument. Certainly well above the heads of the lower courts, which is why they found in favour of HMRC. Had Vodafone decided to appeal to Europe, it's entirely possible that they might have won their appeal. This would have been catastrophic for HMRC, as they would have had to repay Vodafone and it would have opened the floodgates for claims from other companies, as well as rubber-stamping copycat tax avoidance structures.

With all of this in mind, Hartnett, perhaps having discussed the risks with the government, settled with Vodafone. This brings in a big amount of cash, without the risks of an appeal being taken to the European courts.

It's entirely appropriate that government departments, egged on by government, should have the autonomy to make judgements of this sort. And their decision-making process is open to scrutiny through the Parliamentary committee process. But Vodafone aren't to blame for seizing a fair settlement, which ends years of uncertainty and expensive legal bills. If anyone's to blame, it's HMRC. So UKuncut should lobby them, not disrupt the one shopping day a week that many ordinary people rely upon.

Ritchie's remark that Vodafone had provided for a bill that was "twice what they paid" is facile. As any accountant knows, the amount that companies are required to provide in their accounts is their best estimate of the amount that they will ultimately pay. As it's an estimate, it's bound to be wrong. It's no surprise that Vodafone's estimate ended up being larger than what they paid, because it's tough to make predictions, especially about the future.

On Boots:

Sure the deal was legal – no one said otherwise. But there’s widespread feeling that the UK is being taken for a ride on this issue of giving extraordinarily generous relief for borrowing: borrowing in this case expended to buy Boots and not incurred in the course of its trade. That does stand contrary to a principle of general tax law – that relief is not given as a matter of course when it is incurred to put yourself in a position to do a trade rather than n in the course of actually undertaking it. But legality is not disputed. It’s the way the law is being abused in the opinion of many that is being highlighted.

If it's the law itself that's at fault, then UKuncut must lobby government to change that law. It's totally unacceptable for protestors to disrupt companies who are doing what is expected of them - following the law. If Boots decided to not follow the law, there would be outrage.

That said, I welcome Ritchie's admission that the legality of what Boots's owners are doing "not disputed".

On Topshop:

All true, of course. And all utterly misleading. First, the UK has sought to challenge settlements from husbands on wives. Worstall ignores this. They have not in this case, but the law to do so exists. Second, Worstall ignores the fact that the protest highlights the offshore arrangements used – which are considered to be abusive in themselves by those protesting, and without which it is certain more tax would have been paid somewhere. So again Wortsall utterly misrepresents the basis for the protest.

So, while HMRC has challenged some of the dodgier husband/wife transactions, it hasn't done so in the case of the Greens. Why do you think that might be? Because, perhaps, their tax affairs are deemed to be in order?

It matters not a fig that 'those protesting' think that what the Greens are doing is wrong. HMRC hasn't seen fit to challenge them in the courts. Who do UKuncut think they are to second-guess that judgement?

Even Ritchie must admit that "more tax would have been paid somewhere" is a pitifully weak case for protest.

On Barclays:

The protest is fourfold. Firstly Barclays has form on tax avoidance. Second, Barclays hasn’t made losses. In that case, why has it got them available in the UK for tax purposes? Could this be because the UK has such generous relief for losses it decided to record those it had here? This is in itself a basis for protest. Third, the lack of transparency is an issue – we don’t know why Barclays paid so little tax. Country-by-country reporting of bank profits would resolve this. Fourth, Barclays enjoyed and still enjoys state subsidies. For example it has its depositors funds guaranteed. In that case to allow relief of losses already supported by the state is unreasonable and the law should be changed. Worstall misses all these points, I presume deliberately.

Oh dear, Ritchie, oh dear. The UK tax return takes as its starting point the profit (or loss) of a standalone UK company. Ritchie has directed us towards the consolidated income statement of Barclays, which includes all of its overseas subsidiaries, as well as a bunch of consolidation adjustments to remove intercompany transactions. You really can't derive an awful lot about the UK tax liability from the consolidated income statement, as The Guardian found to its peril when it published its stupid story about Barclays' 1% tax rate. I debunked that little myth here.

In order to get any understanding, you have to turn to the tax reconciliation note, which lists the main items that cause the actual tax charge paid by the entire group to differ from the hypothetical tax charge you'd get by multiplying the UK (or blended global) tax rate by the consolidated profits.

Given that Ritchie is so blind to the facts of this case, we must take his claim that Barclays has "form on tax avoidance" with a very significant pinch of salt.

We do know pretty well why Barclays paid "so little" tax. Country by country reporting is totally unnecessary. It's expensive, investors don't want it, companies don't want it and auditors don't want it. When protestors are so compulsively stupid, no amount of additional disclosure will make the blindest bit of difference.

If Barclays is indeed benefiting from a state subsidy, we can expect it to return to profitability sooner and to soak up all those brought-forward losses. It would be highly irregular to change the law retrospectively to catch a single group of taxpayers. It would perhaps even be deemed illegal, if challenged in the courts.

Looking through each of the criticisms in turn, it's clear that Ritchie's running on empty and that he has failed to land any punches on the main thrust of Worstall's argument - that the case of tax avoidance is simply unproven.

As a result, we can confidently conclude that it's very unlikely that the estimates of tax avoidance are anywhere near the levels purported by UKuncut and other tax campaigners.

Shouldn't The Guardian hire a deputy City editor who understands accounting?

Posted by Christie Malry on March 17, 2011 at 8:54 am

Via a kindly tweet from Frances_Coppola, my attention is drawn to yet another gut-wrenchingly stupid article by Jill Treanor.  She's writing about Barclays and its loss carry-forwards:

Barclays has deferred tax assets of £2.5bn, up from £2.3bn, as a result of losses in the UK, the US and Spain, which will help to reduce its tax bill in the years ahead.

According to the bank's annual report, published after markets shut last night, some £1bn of the tax assets – which the bank can count against tax bills – had been stored up from losses incurred before 2010.

OK, Jill. It's important to be very precise here. Deferred tax is an accounting gimmick, which seeks to match the tax treatment of things in the accounts to their accounting treatment. By contrast, current tax is a very real concept. A current tax liability is a bill that the company owes to the taxman. A current tax asset is a refund that the company is due. It's very important not to mix the two up.

When a company makes a loss, it will recognise a deferred tax asset to the extent that it believes that those losses can be offset against future profits. If there are doubts about the recoverability of those losses, for example if there are conditions over how they can be offset or if there are doubts about how profitable the company will be in future, the company won't recognise the full amount of the deferred tax asset.

So what really matters to us is the amount of losses the company has to offset against taxes in the future. And the deferred tax asset is a fairly good guide to that. It's possible that the company may get to utilise more losses than it has recognised as a deferred tax asset, which would increase its current year tax rate and reduce its future tax rate. But companies aren't allowed to massage their tax rate in this way.

Back to the article. It's not the deferred tax assets which will reduce Barclays' future tax bill. It's the losses, which the deferred tax assets help us estimate. And it's misleading and really a bit dim to talk about "the tax assets" when she really means "the brought forward losses".

The bank, which survived the banking crisis without a direct taxpayer bailout, incurred controversy when it admitted to the Treasury select committee that it paid just £113m of corporation tax in the UK in 2009 – when it made £11.9bn of profits.

The bank has never been specific about how its tax bill stayed so low, other than to refer to losses it had incurred previously.

Ugh, still peddling that nonsense. Barclays doesn't need to be specific about how its tax bill stayed so low, because various bloggers (e.g. here) have explained it for them. Heck, I even explained it myself. It's pretty freaking obvious to anyone with a minimal amount of accountancy training.

The exact amount of tax assets that Barclays has in the UK is unclear. UK rules allow the bank to use the losses against future profits indefinitely. Other countries, such as Germany, place restrictions on the time such losses can be carried.

No doubt this will be used as yet another call by the Ritchies of this world for country-by-country reporting. Of course, there's an easier way. With a bit of legwork, some bright spark could plough through Barclays' UK subsidiaries and dig out the deferred tax asset numbers. While this wouldn't be perfect, for the reasons outlined above, it would give a fair indication of the quantum of the tax losses available for offset against future profits.

As Worstall has noted over at his gaff, I don't think Germany places restriction on time. It does, as I understand it, set a minimum tax payment in any one year, so a company can't reduce its tax payment to zero merely by utilising losses.

These sorts of howlers, coming as they do on top of a string of piss poor articles about banks, their accounting and their taxes, really do call into question why on earth Jill Treanor is still in gainful employment at The Guardian. There are 2.53 million unemployed people in the UK. Surely one of them knows more about this stuff than Jill?

Shaxson's ten reasons for corporation tax, part deux

Posted by Christie Malry on March 15, 2011 at 11:32 pm

OK, back in front of a real computer, so I can spend a bit of time doling out a proper beating to Nick Shaxson's article 10 reasons we should tax corporations.

So, here we go, here's an in-depth analysis of why I think each of his ten points are stupid:

1) Corporate profits depend on tax-financed public goods: healthy and educated workforces; good infrastructure; publicly enforced respect for contracts and property rights, and so on. When corporations avoid or evade tax, legally or illegally, they free ride on the backs of the rest of us. Stop taxing them, and you savagely undermine political community.

Ordinarily when you prepare lists of this sort, you would try to put your strongest point first. So Shaxson has thrown us a curveball by starting with this one. It's designed to tweak the heartstrings of even the most cold hearted of capitalists. But it's nonsense. Corporations can no more "free ride on the backs of the rest of us" than bananas can. Corporations aren't people.

Now, there's a case to be made that we should aim, as far as is humanly possible, to tax every form of economic activity. But that's not what he's said. He thinks people free-riding can 'savagely undermine' community, which is a curiously right-wing notion.

2) Corporation taxes are an essential backstop to personal income tax. Cut them to zero, and wealthy individuals will increasingly reclassify their earnings as corporate income, typically using offshore corporate structures, and escape tax. Gauke's arguments about employees footing the corporate tax bill are irrelevant.

The UK rules on residence and domicile are a bit of a mess. This is partly deliberate, because politicians like to entice rich people to come live here and bring their wealth with them. The price to be paid is an acceptance that they'll maybe pay a lower rate of tax, but because they're richer they'll still end up paying more tax overall.

Hence the rules that someone who is not domiciled in the UK could, until quite recently, pay UK income tax on their UK-sourced income only but pay UK income tax on their other earnings only when remitted to the UK. The government is continuing a plan introduced by Labour to make this remittance route more costly.

Anyone who is resident in the UK and is domiciled in the UK must pay UK tax on their worldwide earnings. If they don't, it's evasion.

So, with that bit of groundwork done, what's Shaxson saying here? He's worried that, without a corporation tax, people will squirrel money away into companies and get that money untaxed. But for UK residents/domiciles this doesn't work. They would still get taxed on the money when they sought to extract it from their company. If they don't declare income they're receiving from overseas sources then that's evasion. The UK government is doing all sorts of deals with other countries to get information about accounts held by UK citizens, in order to ensure that they're being taxed properly.

If they're not UK domiciled then there's possibly more of a problem, but it's a problem that can be solved with enough resolve. A withholding tax on dividends, as would disallowing interest on loans to companies in 'unfriendly' overseas countries.

3) Gauke's claim of a "consensus among economists" that the burden of corporation taxes falls on employees and not on capital owners, is false. The US Congressional Budget Office said last week that it was "unclear" how much of the corporation tax burden fell on employees; earlier, it said that capital bore most or all of the corporate tax burden. The Institute for Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP) in Washington said this month that the incidence of corporate tax fell mostly on capital owners, not employees. It added that corporate income tax was among the most progressive taxes, because stock ownership was heavily concentrated among the wealthiest taxpayers. This is an especially precious tax.

Gauke's basing his claim on the excellent work of Professor Michael Devereux at the Oxford University Centre for Business Taxation. Instead of reeling off a list of people who don't disagree, it would be better if Shaxson could deal with the flaws in Devereux's method.

4) When Gauke talks about "employees", who does he mean? Goldman Sachs employees earned $430,700 on average last year. To the extent that the burden falls on them, taxing such firms makes the tax system more progressive. It would also cut into excessive bank remuneration, which has been a big factor in the recent financial crisis. Taxing financial corporations also curbs the "too big to fail" problem where large banks can hold governments hostage and shift losses on to taxpayers.

So, having argued in (3) that he doesn't believe Devereux's conclusions, he then decides that he does, but that he likes the symptoms anyway. Arguments (3) and (4) are mutually inconsistent.

Taxing financial institutions quite clearly does not curb the 'too big to fail' problem. Government pockets the juicy tax revenues then blames the banks when they screw up.

5) If corporation taxes didn't fall on the owners of capital, as Gauke claims, then corporations, responding to shareholders' wishes, shouldn't mind being taxed. So why do they spend so much time and money designing tax avoidance strategies?

Because managers, which run companies on behalf of shareholders, do bear some of the burden of taxation because they're employees of those companies. Keep up at the back, Shaxson!

6) Limited liability companies are separate legal persons, greater than the sum of their parts. So they should be taxed separately: this is not "double taxation". Limited liability lets shareholders dump costs on to society when things go wrong. Corporations must pay for this privilege.

This is a distortion of history. Limited liability developed as a way to incentivise entrepreneurs to undertake risky prospective projects. Without entrepreneurs, a great deal of economic output would simply never happen because some of them would be terrified that they might lose their assets, their houses, their livelihoods. Limited liability allows them to partition their business and personal lives. An unfortunate downside is that it can allow directors to ditch a failing company and leave creditors or society in the lurch. That's why we have lots of laws around how directors should behave when their companies might be in trouble.

7) Many corporations earn what economists call rents. These – like oil money that flows effortlessly into Saudi or Kuwaiti coffers – are earnings that arise not from hard work and real innovation but from accidents of nature or good fortune. Adair Turner recently explained how banks in the City of London are particularly adept at earning rents, such as from exploiting insider knowledge and expertise; from natural oligopolies in market-making and other activities; and from "valueless" trading activity. Economists since Adam Smith – including Turner – have advocated taxing rents especially hard.

This point isn't made very convincingly. Sure, rents are bad, m'kay? But enormous amounts of value from oil accrues to, well, Saudi or Kuwaiti sheiks. They're the rent seekers. The oil companies which help them pump the stuff out of the ground in increasingly difficult conditions also make a good return, but they have to do a lot of hard work for it.

8 ) Corporate tax avoidance, despite hiding behind weasel words such as "tax efficiency", is unproductive and inefficient. When corporate managers pursue tax avoidance they take their eye off what they do best – producing better or cheaper goods or services – and focus instead on engineering transfers of wealth from taxpayers to corporations. Clamp down on it, hard, to make markets more efficient.

This point is batty.  Big companies employ a diverse range of professionals. They employ marketing professionals to do marketing, supply chain specialists to manage procurement, manufacturing experts to run their factories and finance experts to prepare their accounts. And they employ tax specialists to ensure that they're not unnecessarily structuring a transaction in a way that leads to a high tax liability when there's an alternative, equivalent transaction that leads to a lower one.

9) It matters where company owners and business activities are. Take a US mining company digging gold in Zambia. If Zambia raises corporation taxes, wealth will flow from wealthy US stockholders to ordinary African taxpayers. The investor will stay, because that's where the gold is – and even if it goes, another will take its place. That basic formula works for profitable opportunities in general. Tax corporations, within reason, and they may bluff and bluster – but they will stay.

But what the local tax authorities are trying to tax is economic activity. They could just as easily tax the wages of local workers. Oh, they do.

If you want to tax flows out of the company, then you can do this (withholding tax, disallowing interest to some countries, etc.) without having to tax it in the hands of the company.

10) The "Laffer argument" that corporation tax cuts pay for themselves has been thoroughly debunked. Even Greg Mankiw, formerly chairman of George W Bush's Council of Economic Advisers, calls Laffer's adherents "charlatans and cranks".

Well the discussion over at CiF makes it clear that this is a gross misquote of what Mankiw said. Of course it is. The Laffer curve is self evidently true - you raise no revenue at 0% and 100% and you raise something in-between. At some point, with higher tax rates, the yield curve must face downwards.

In his haste to find ten reasons to support a corporation tax, Shaxson has overlooked the most obvious and best reason to tax companies - because they're full of money. It's nothing to do with fairness, or Laffer curves, or tax incidence, or non doms. It's just that they make money and governments like to tax where the money is.

Responding to Shaxson on his ten reasons for the corporation tax

Posted by Christie Malry on March 15, 2011 at 1:07 pm

Nick Shaxson, he of Treasure Islands fame, has written a piece for CiF giving ten reasons why companies should have to pay tax.

Now, because I'm on my phone today. I can't respond to his points one by one, but only in aggregate. Sorry.

The problem with these sorts of list are that it's very rare for all ten to be as good as each other. This list is no exception. The arguments boil down to a few reductio ad absurdum points and a few that try to pluck the ethical heartstrings. The rest quibble with the academic literature. He makes some howlers too. While a company may be more than the sum of its parts, it can no more bear taxation than a table or a computer games console. Only people pay tax, so our tax policy should aim to tax the people who conduct economic activity in our country.

In his haste to think up ten reasons, he's missed the most obvious reason of all (spotted by the first CiF commentator): it's where the money is. But there are many economic reasons why taxing companies might not be such a great idea. You know, tax incidence, double taxation, international competition, etc. But there is an alternative. If we're worried about offshore structures and international investors, we could always have a low corporation tax but levy a withholding tax on flows out of the country, with exemptions for our European friends or other countries we like. Ideally, we want people to base their companies here, because it brings jobs and prosperity. That's a far greater prize than the pathetically small amounts we raise in corporation tax.

And finally, you can ponder for yourself whether Britain should accept any lectures on tax avoidance policy from a man who, according to Wikipedia at least, lives with his family in Switzerland.

Yes, the private and public sectors are connected

Posted by Christie Malry on March 15, 2011 at 11:19 am

Ritchie, with his usual lack of grace, writes of the ICAEW's Michael Izza:

What has been forgotten? Is the man a fool? Did he genuinely think there was some mighty Venn diagram with the state sector in one circle and the private sector and the two never overlapped? What sort of fantasy did he live in?

Some of us have, of course, been aware of this for some time. It’s a shame the micro-economically obsessed (as most accountants are) didn’t open their eyes and little earlier when demanding the destruction of the state sector on which their well being depends, as they’re now discovering.

If they want they can join me on 26 March at the mass rally in London against the cuts.

I wonder what, if anything, the poor Mr Izza has ever done to offend Ritchie? Is he still harbouring a grudge because they are sceptical about country by country reporting?

But there's a more serious point here. In the run-up to, during, and after the financial crisis people like me have been arguing that we must both make essential savings in the public services and make cuts to some services to allow the private sector to recover. The basic point here is that every pound of tax wasted is a pound that could have been invested in the private sector, because the private and public sectors are connected.

So, it's nice to see Ritchie concede the point.

Logical fallacies and the tax gap

Posted by Christie Malry on March 14, 2011 at 10:25 am

Ritchie, referring to a recent case where HMRC has closed a fairly blatant example of abusive tax avoidance, says:

So we have large businesses putting hundreds of millions of tax at risk, we’re told.

And there’s an insignificant tax gap?

Sorry: it does not stack. The willing is present; the advisers are present and the companies are willing to commit cash to abuse. The tax gap is very real indeed. But until today this was all part of the ‘legitimate’ allowances and reliefs I’m meant to ignore when preparing my calculations.

Sorry. I don’t buy that. And no one should.

This is silly. No-one, not even the most strident tax advocate or the maddest libertarian, would argue that the best estimate of the tax gap is zero. So finding an egregious case doesn't prove Ritchie's estimate of tax avoidance in any way.

This is one of the great logical fallacies - using information that is unrelated to the hypothesis in an attempt to prove it. Of course tax avoidance is greater than zero. So we should be celebrating the closing of this loophole instead of drawing daft conclusions from it.