UHY Hacker Young plus tax policy equals total unmitigated disaster

Posted by Christie Malry on October 31, 2011 at 1:02 pm

Oh my days. Despite the utter nonsense they produced last time they tried to make tax policy, our mates at UHY Hacker Young have produced yet another total tax policy stinker:

The effective tax rate of FTSE-100 companies (i.e. the percentage tax they pay on their profits) is now just 26% compared to 35.8% two years ago. This tax rate has fallen even as profits have risen.

While this is partly a result of a fall in the headline corporate tax rate over the last two years[1], the steep decrease has also been partly caused by some British companies moving their headquarters overseas.

FTSE 100 companies are also generating a higher percentage of their revenues overseas. This means that they are able to take advantage of lower prevailing tax rates in those overseas jurisdiction

And they produce a little graph to support this claim:

They haven't shown their workings, so I can't work out precisely what they've done. I suspect they're taking the total tax charge in the accounts and dividing it by the profit before tax. This is, of course, going to produce totally stupid results because it will fail to take account of legitimate tax incentives provided by governments, such as R&D tax credits, whiich reduce the tax payable. Most seriously, to the extent that companies have made taxable losses which they fear may not be recoverable, they won't have provided deferred tax against them. So in 2009 the tax charge may have been higher than expected due to unprovided losses which ultimately did become recoverable in later years.

And you'd have thought that they might at least have read their own research. Their own table showed that the only major country with a corporation tax rate higher than 35% is Japan. So, unless the companies in their survey were miraculously making most of their profits in Japan, it's pretty unlikely that they would have been able to get a tax charge as high as 35.8%.

Two things are for sure. Firstly, while the lower UK corporate rate, relocating headquarters and revenues overseas might have some impact, this is dwarfed by the impact of unrecognised losses. Secondly, Roy Maugham and UHY Hacker Young should stay well away from tax policy. This is the second idiotic tax policy note they've issued in so many months. They're making the entire profession look ridiculous.

Fantastic tax gap news!

Posted by Christie Malry on October 31, 2011 at 11:01 am

Today's Hallowe'en Horror story:

A shocking £35 billion Tax Gap has just been uncovered in the City of London. The Tax Gap, the result of large scale corporate tax avoidance, has been found to be directly responsible for the loss of public services across the UK.

Help us plug the Tax Gap by sending an email to the Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne, today, calling for tougher action against tax cheats.

Remember: Every pound lost in tax avoidance is a pound less to spend on vital benefits or public services.  Help us close the Tax Gap now!

Well, Niall doesn't give us a source for his figure, other than linking to the rather nice photoshopped image he produced to accompany his article. But the £35bn figure ties in exactly to HMRC's latest estimate of the tax gap, so it looks like he's getting the figure from there.

This is fantastic news, because it means at least one NGO, in this case Church Action on Poverty, might finally be turning their backs on the idiotic estimates produced by one Mr R Murphy, Esq., and using the much more reliable HMRC figures.

However, their rhetoric is still a bit daft. There has always been a gap between what HMRC "should" collect and what it eventually "does" collect. So it's misleading to describe the £35bn gap as representing money that now can't be spent on vital benefits or public services. The gap has always been there and HM Treasury has always had to accommodate it into what it can spend on services. The Chancellor has, in effect, already taken account of the gap in his forecasts, even while he takes steps to try and reduce it.

And there are also upsides to the tax gap, which tax campaigners never seem to take account of. Suppose there's a builder who does a job "off-book" and doesn't charge VAT. That means he can either charge the same and pocket the VAT for himself, or (more likely) he splits the difference with a grateful customer. Note, I'm not condoning this kind of arrangement. Now, the builder has more money than he would have had if he had declared the VAT properly. The customer also has more money than he would have had if he had paid the VAT-inclusive price. Both parties can now spend that additional money in the economy, stimulating growth in other sectors. The conclusion from this story isn't that tax avoidance is good, but that tax avoidance brings with it benefits in the real economy, at the expense of the country's tax take. But some of these transactions would never have taken place at all, so it's a fallacy to count the lost money as a result of tax avoidance without also making some estimate of the transactions that took place only because of this tax avoidance.

But it does mean that each pound of tax avoidance is not directly a pound less to be spent on public services.

Bringing morality to the markets

Posted by Christie Malry on October 30, 2011 at 9:13 pm

In an interesting, but ultimately flawed, blog post, Colin Talbot says:

Today I heard a Lib Dem MEP say something to the effect of “what are we going to do, stop the markets from doing certain things”? Well, er, yes. We stop ‘the markets’ from trading in human body parts, or in whole humans for that matter. We don’t allow them to freely trade nuclear weapons, or other WMDs. In other words there are all sorts of moral and practical restrictions placed upon the markets, for our own protection.

Markets don't "do" anything. They're merely a place where people interact. And, as ideas go, the idea of the free market is fundamentally unobjectionable. Why shouldn't people be able to buy and sell things to each other without interference? Markets are inherently a good thing.

Now, sometimes the outcome of a free transaction is inconsistent with society's norms. For example, the case of nuclear weapons given above. Although there may be a willing seller of nuclear weapons and a willing buyer of nuclear weapons, we collectively don't want the technology behind these weapons - or indeed the weapons themselves - to spread. So we intervene to forbid such transactions taking place in our free market.

There are a load of other examples . We don't allow buying/selling of slaves, some drugs, sex and children because these (rightly, in my view) offend our moral sensibilities. But that's not the fault of the market. It's just a place where people buy and sell. It has no ethical sense at all. The ethics of a market transaction depend on the buyer, the seller, and society's interpretation of it.

Blaming "the markets" for stuff society doesn't like is an unacceptable cop-out. We should regulate sellers of stuff we don't like, or we should regulate buyers of stuff we don't like. It's not the fault of "the markets". What we consider acceptable or not is, after all, a societal construct.

So, with that in mind, let's turn to Talbot's three suggestions for fixing "the markets":

You should not be able to sell stuff you don’t own.

The whole basis of ‘short-selling’ is you sell something you don’t own now, in order to drive down the price of the things you don’t own so you can later buy them for less than you just sold the things you don’t own for.

I can’t for the life of me see how this generates any value to anybody except allowing the short-sellers to rip everyone else off. Their ‘bet’ that the price will fall is not based on anything ‘real’, like the value of the item, but simply on their ability to manipulate the market. On the contrary, if the thing being sold is something like a companies shares it is doing a lot of damage. What is it good for?

Nope. Totally wrong. There are all sorts of legitimate reasons for short-selling. And, indeed, plenty of businesses sell stuff they don't own. At the risk of reiterating material I already wrote in an earlier blog post, here are some instances of short-selling in business:

  • Just-in-time manufacturing. Efficient manufacturing businesses sell goods they don't own, then manufacture them quickly once they've been ordered. This helps businesses by reducing their need to hold significant quantities of inventory (which might fail to sell, go bad or get stolen).
  • Bespoke printing. I understand that Amazon will print up books for you 'to order'. They don't exist at the time of ordering, but they'll print them, bind them and send them to you.
  • Airlines. Airlines don't actually have "a seat on a flight from London to New York at 8:50am on 23 February 20X2" when you order it. But we don't seem to have a problem with allowing people to buy one.
  • University courses.  Similarly for university courses. Professor Talbot doesn't actually have any of the courses his university is selling. Nor, to the extent that they're examined courses, have any of the exam papers yet been written.
  • Writers. Publishers often provide advances to authors, sometimes before even a single word has been written. What's that, if not short-selling?

In all of these cases, while the seller doesn't actually have what he's selling in his grubby little hands at the point of sale, he does have the capacity to provide it. And, if he fails to provide it, he is liable to breach of contract. That's as true for these cases as it is for short-selling of shares. A short-seller of equities has the capacity to acquire the shares in question. If, for any reason, he fails to do so, he must pay the financial consequences.

If you need an introduction to how short-selling works, and why it's not problematic, you should acquaint yourself with three girls, two cups.

You shouldn’t be able to insure things you don’t own either.

If I were to insure a camera I didn’t own, but actually belonged to my mate, and then he had it stolen whilst on holiday, I don’t know any insurance company that would pay me. Au contraire, I’d probably get a visit from Sgt Plod asking me why I was trying to rip off the insurance company. As with so much else, this doesn’t seem to apply in the topsy-turvy moral universe of finance capital.

Anyone can purchase a CDS, even buyers who do not hold the loan instrument and may have no direct “insurable interest” in the loan. The buyer of the CDS makes a series of payments (the CDS “fee” or “spread”) to the seller and, in exchange, receives a payoff if the loan defaults.”

Again, I fail to see any utility in this transaction for the real world the rest of us inhabit and if I tried to pull this stunt with a car I’d end up in prison.

Well, I have some sympathy with this line of thinking, and I take great solace from the fact that Frances Coppola does too, However, Talbot's reasons fail the basic standard that we set out in the beginning. He's saying that we should ban CDSs because he "fail[s] to see any utility" in them. But there are plenty of other things that he probably can't see any utility in; say the selling of marmite-flavoured chocolate. Should we ban that too?

No, the only reason to ban something is if we can point to the specific way that it offends society. Beyond the fact that it just feels 'iffy', Talbot fails to make the case.

You should pay tax on every transaction that supposedly ‘adds value’.

One of the main reasons for financial systems running amok is the volume of trades – these have spiraled to unprecedented levels. When the rest of us buy and sell things we (mostly) pay VAT on the transaction, which, in case you have forgotten is “value added” tax. So if these financial transaction as ‘value adding’ as their proponents claim, why don’t they have to pay tax on them? When a car component manufacturer sells a car widget to the manufacturer they have to pay a whopping 20% VAT. Why doesn’t this apply to financial ‘products’?

This betrays a fundamental understanding of how value added tax works. VAT is a tax paid by consumers on the value added to a good or service during its manufacture. So the car component manufacturer doesn't pay "a whopping 20% VAT". The VAT, if any, will be paid by the purchaser, not the seller. And, in turn, the seller will account for that input VAT when it sells the final product on to customers. Customers are the end of the chain: they cannot reclaim their input VAT so ultimately they must pay VAT 1.

Businesses do, of course, have a sort of 'value added' tax of their own. It's called corporation tax, and is payable on the taxable profits made by businesses. So our car component manufacturer (presuming they're incorporated) will pay corporation tax on the profit it makes between buying in metal, shaping it into widgets and selling those widgets to other companies.

Contrary to popular belief, financial businesses do pay corporation tax on the sum of all those little profits they make from super-fast transactions. So Talbot's desire to see added value being taxed is already reality.

And, again contrary to popular  belief, financial services businesses don't dodge VAT. The provision of financial services is VAT-exempt, which means financial services businesses cannot recover their input VAT. Their prices therefore effectively include VAT already to allow them to recover it in an economic sense 2.

There may yet be a case for introducing a financial transaction tax. I don't buy it, myself. But inaccurately stating that financial transactions aren't subject to a tax on the value added isn't the way to make the case.

Notes:

  1. Whether they ultimately bear VAT is a much more complex issue and is well beyond the scope of this blog post.
  2. The Mirrlees review suggested that the VAT status of financial services businesses ought to be changed.

A parent's guide to clock changes

Posted by Christie Malry on October 29, 2011 at 7:37 pm

It's clock change time again. Follow these simple rules and you should ensure that you don't lose an hour's sleep in the spring and that you do get a lie-in in the autumn.

In the spring

Do nothing! Don't touch the clocks until Sunday morning. Your children will wake up as normal, meaning you don't lose an hour of sleep.

In the autumn

On Saturday evening, tell your children in no uncertain terms that they are not to get out of bed until their normal waking up time. Then sneak into your children's bedrooms while they're asleep and change the clocks back. This should guarantee that you get the full benefit of the extra hour as a lie-in.

 

An amazing statistic on political party funding

Posted by Christie Malry on October 29, 2011 at 10:27 am

I didn't expect this:

Democratic Audit told the inquiry on the basis of the Electoral Commission's register of donations, from 1 January 2001-30 June 2010, donations of £50,001 or more accounted for 41% of Liberal Democrat income, 54% of Conservative and 76% of Labour party declared donation income.

Who would have thought that Labour, of all parties, relied so heavily upon big donations to keep it solvent?

Eoin vs big oil

Posted by Christie Malry on October 27, 2011 at 11:44 pm

Eoin takes four pot shots at the oil and gas industry:

4 reasons why although Shell & BP make £84,000,000 profit a day, the UK sees little benefit.
This week BP & Shell announced that they made £7.7 billion pounds profit in the previous 13 weeks trading. That is more than £84,000,000 profit a day. But in this piece I wish to point out how little the UK benefits from this in employment, GDP, or indeed Research and Development. 

Let's see now. The oil companies pay Petroleum Revenue Tax, which contributes £1,458m to the country's coffers 1. The oil companies also pay corporation tax (I can't get the figure from their accounts, but given their UK operations it will be sizeable). They employ workers who pay income tax and national insurance, and for which they pay employer's national insurance. The BBC estimates that for BP the sum of all of these taxes, plus VAT paid by their customers, is £5.8bn. I would estimate that Shell's contribution is slightly lower, but it's still a significant figure.

In addition to all of this, HM Treasury earns fuel duties of £27,256m 2 annually, which are directly as a result of the oil and gas industry. It doesn't contribute them, but they arise due to its activities. Without oil and gas, we wouldn't have this tax income at all.

Then there's the importance of oil and gas to pension funds. Both have significant dividend yields. Before the Gulf of Mexico explosion, BP yielded over 5% (now about 4%) and Shell yields approximately 5%. The BBC article claims that, before the blowout, BP paid £1 in every £7 of dividends received by UK pension funds, so it's clearly very significant to the retirement plans of British savers.

And let's not forget all the other companies that supply BP and Shell. Their ongoing existence relies very much on these large purchasers.

In this context, it's thoroughly bonkers to say that the UK doesn't benefit from their profitability. There are few companies that are more vital to the government's coffers, in fact.

Quite amusing

Posted by Christie Malry on October 27, 2011 at 6:59 pm

A search term that led someone to my site:

we are the 99% slogan merchandise

More tax lunacy from Occupy London

Posted by Christie Malry on October 27, 2011 at 12:02 am

I really must stop reading the Occupy London Direct Democracy website. It's truly bad for my blood pressure. Today's vignette:

Oh Sandy. The '7 year rule' for gifts relates to inheritance tax. The idea is that a dying man shouldn't be able to artificially reduce the value of his estate by giving away vast gobs of cash on his deathbed. So gifts within the last 7 years of someone's life are scooped back into his estate for calculating his Inheritance Tax bill. There are some complicated rules about exactly how this calculation is done in practice.

It's insane to describe this regime as a 'tax avoidance loophole'. However, if you insist on doing so, there are two possible alternatives:

  1. You tax all gifts as part of the deceased's estate. This would mean trawling back through decades of records to trace every single gift and seeking tax payments from possibly dozens of people. The administration would be incredible.
  2. You tax all gifts at the time of receipt. This would mean the taxman turning up on Christmas Day to demand tax be paid on little Johnny's gift from his aunt. It's totally illiberal and unworkable.

At the time of writing, Sandy's proposal enjoyed a 5-2 majority. I weep for the complete lack of common sense among these idiotic kids who propose their way as a viable alternative to our - admittedly flawed - Parliamentary system.

How misinformation about corporation tax breeds on the Internet

Posted by Christie Malry on October 25, 2011 at 10:43 pm

I was having a browse through the Occupy London Manifesto site the other night. And I came across this:

Er, what? This is so self-evidently false, it's startling that anyone could believe it. But where does this "fact" come from?

Well, there's this blog post:

But it really sickens me that my little business must pay tax and go through scrutiny of Customs and Revenue, and 98 of the top 100 grossing businesses in the UK DO NOT PAY ANY CORPORATE TAX!!!! That’s right, they skirt by that bothersome issue by renting a cheap office space in Jersey, and saying their business is based there!! It is absolutely disgusting what lengths businesses will go to to avoid paying their fair share.

The post doesn't provide any calculations, nor does it explain how you go from "avoid paying their fair share" to "DO NOT PAY ANY CORPORATE TAX".

But what's the source for Grande Dame's claim? Well, it comes via our friends Ritchie and the NGOs, who - you'll remember - had some fun with counting the number of subsidiaries of FTSE 100 companies which are based in what they define as "tax havens". They draw this up broadly, including the US state of Delaware (tax rate: 35%), Ireland and the Netherlands.

I already highlighted how Ritchie was playing fast and loose with his interpretation of the report. Given his following, this is grossly irresponsible.

But he's not alone. Sky News's report is equally sloppy. Under the headline "All But Two FTSE 100 Firms 'Avoid Paying Tax'", they say:

Action Aid found that 98 out of the 100 companies on the FTSE 100 base their operations in territories where there is low or no tax.

Gah! There's a whole world of difference between "having a subsidiary in" and "basing their operations in". And it's that sloppy, thoughtless journalism that feeds idiotic blogs, and ultimately fuels moronic policy proposals in left-wing manifestos.

Ritchie and political analysis

Posted by Christie Malry on October 25, 2011 at 9:08 pm

Ritchie has an interesting take on last night's House of Commons vote on whether to hold an EU referendum:

One can question the sense of making the vote a three line whip. But "Cameron's" side in yesterday's debate won by 483 to 111. So if this truly were a question of Cameron's trust, it would appear that he overwhelmingly enjoys MPs' trust.